Scenario Lab
Change how much each component drives the composite, then re-run selection to compare against the base weights. Every result is a projected reordering under different assumptions, not a win probability.
Presets
The calibrated base weights: the blend that best reproduced the committee's picks across 2014-2024.
Normalized weights
Resume
40%Predictive
30%SOR
20%SOS
10%ScenarioBase
Adjust one or more weights to create a scenario. Base weights match the current run, so there is nothing to compare yet.
Reweight the model
Shift how much the four components drive the composite, then run a scenario to compare against the base run.
After running a scenario, this panel shows
- Field changes
- Seed changes
- Bubble movement
- Bracket impact